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Stellenangebot registrierenDie Beziehung zwischen den USA und China wird die wichtigste bilaterale Beziehung der Welt werden, schreibt Stanley Crossick, der Gründer des European Policy Centre in einem Blogeintrag im März, der sich mit den Ergebnissen des G20 Gipfel befasst, der vor kurzem stattgefunden hat.
"The mix of [European, American and Asian] voices reflected in the London Summit communiqué represents substantial progress compared to the pre-crisis pattern, where the voices of the G7 countries, or more narrowly the United States and Europe, crowded out others," writes Crossick. Despite this, he believes that "any impact of the London Summit on the global economy in the short term is unlikely".
"China came out of the summit well," argues Crossick, whereas Russia, the European Union and the United States will lose some of their influence:
"The European influence is to be seen in the decision to establish the new Financial Stability Board to ensure that the problem of inadequate regulation and supervision of the financial sector is resolved," Crossick explains.
"The US was behind the emphasis on together restoring global growth. The decision to expedite the giving to developing countries more voting power in the IMF at the same time as tripling IMF resources was very much due to the Asian voice," he adds.
"The notion of a G2 (US and China) exists but not a G3 (plus EU)," Crossick stresses. "Without China little can be achieved," he continues.
Moreover, "China and some other developing countries will increase their GDP in 2009, but most developed and developing countries will register declines," he adds.
Thus, though "the EU's voice cannot be ignored," "Beijing is likely to work more closely with Washington than Brussels," Crossick concludes.